| Date |
|
| 1/23 |
Introduction, Basic Probability (2.1-2.2) |
| 1/28 |
Calculating Probabilities (2.3-2.4) Bayes' Theorem (2.5) Simpson's Paradox When Combined Data Reveal the Flaw of Averages |
| 2/4 |
Chapter 2 Homework due 2/7: 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 14, 22 Chapter 2 Quiz 2/7 Discrete Random Variables (3.2-3.3) blank coinflip results sheet coinflip results sheet |
| 2/11 |
Binomial Distribution worksheet Facts about the binomial distribution. Continuous Random Variables (3.5-3.7, 12.2) Comparison of Discrete vs. Continuous |
| 2/18 |
Poisson Distribution Chapter 3 Take-home quiz assigned Normal Distribution Calculuator Decision Making (4.1-4.2) Sample Influence Diagram |
| 2/25 |
Lake Placid problem data Expected Values (4.3) Complex Payoff Table of the Massachusetts State Lottery Perfect Information (4.5) Sample Information (4.5) |
| 3/4 |
Lake Placid data Decision Tree Worksheet Case Problem assigned Risk Analysis (4.4) Sensitivity Analysis (4.4) Branch Probabilities and Bayes' Theorem (4.6 p. 126) |
| 3/11 | Spring Break |
| 3/18 |
Chapter 3 take home quiz due 3/19 Computing Branch Probabilities Utility and Decision Making (5.1-5.2) Utility Worksheet |
| 3/25 |
Utility and Risk (5.3) Chapter 4 and 5 Homework due 3/26. Chapter 4: 2, 3, 10, 19; Chapter 5: 4 Chapter 4-5 quiz 3/26 Introduction to Chapter 7 |
| 4/1 |
Linear Programming (7.1, 7.2) Steps needed to formulate a linear programming problem |
| 4/8 |
Graphing and Interpreting Feasible Regions (7.2, 7.3) RMC Chemical problem data M&D Chemicals problem Linear Programming Worksheet Excel worksheet solution Surplus Variables and Minimization (7.5) |
| 4/15 |
Special Cases (7.6) Sensitivity Analysis (8.1-8.4) More Than Two Decision Variables (8.4) Using the Solver in Excel 2010 Optional Case Problem checkup due Brunch linear programming worksheet RMC modified (p. 321) |
| 4/22 |
Chapter 7 & 8 Quiz 4/23 Scheduling and Project Networks (13.1) |
| 4/29 |
Chapter 7 and 8 homework due 4/30: Chapter 7: 9, 12, 21, 25; Chapter 8: 3, 16(a). Case project due 5/2 Quiz redo due 5/2 Project Network Worksheet Uncertain times (13.2) Time-Cost Trade-offs (13.3) Chapter 13 Homework (not graded): 3, 6, 13 |
| 3/14 | Final Exam, 2:00-4:00 |
