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Preprints and Reprints

Working Papers
"Synthetic Matching for Causal Effects: A Multivariate Reweighting Method to Produce Balanced Samples in Observational Studies." May 2009.
"Beyond Balance: A Placebo Test for Matching Estimators" (with Alexis Diamond). April 2006.
"Can Domestic Institutions Explain Exchange Rate Regime Choice? The Political Economy of Monetary Institutions Reconsidered'' (with Beth Simmons). May 2005.

Published Articles
"MPs for Sale?  Estimating Returns to Office in Post-War British Politics" (with Andy Eggers). American Political Science Review (2009).
"Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program" (with Alberto Abadie and Alexis Diamond). Journal of the American Statistical Association (2009).
"Opium for the Masses: How Foreign Free Media Can Stabilize Authoritarian Regimes" (with Holger Kern). Political Analysis (2009). Web Supplement.
"Synth: An R Package for Synthetic Control Methods in Comparative Case Studies" (with Alberto Abadie and Alexis Diamond). Journal of Statistical Software (2009).
"Incumbency as a Source of Spillover Effects in Mixed Electoral Systems: Evidence from a Regression-Discontinuity Design" (with Holger Kern). Electoral Studies (2008).
"Educated Preferences: Explaining Individual Attitudes Toward Immigration in Europe" (with Michael Hiscox). International Organization (2007).
   Appendix: PDF (Contains our formal discussion of open-economy models of immigration)
    Robustness Supplement I: PDF (Analysis of Immigrant Skill Data)
    Robustness Supplement II: PDF (Results of Robustness Checks)
    Robustness Supplement III: PDF (Results with Recoded Dependent Variables)
    Replication Archive: Zip (Code and Data to replicate tables from paper and supplements (9.2 MB))
"Learning to Love Globalization: The Effects of Education on Individual Attitudes Toward International Trade" (with Michael Hiscox). International Organization (2006)
    Robustness Supplement I: PDF (Results for Robustness Checks and Additional Surveys)
    Robustness Supplement II: PDF (Analysis of economic literacy vs. tolerance)
    Replication Archive: Zip (Code and Data to replicate tables from paper and supplements (23.8MB))
"Electoral Balancing, Divided Government, and Midterm Loss in German State Elections" (with Holger Kern). Journal of Legislative Studies (2006)
    Replication Archive: Zip (217 KB Contains Code and Data to replicate all tables in paper)